Sunday, April 04, 2004

"Iraq in flames" say the Italian press headlines, and they're dead right.

Full-scale insurgency now - Sunni AND Shia!!... and as every Iraqi death ultimately brings new recruits to the radicalized militia, vicious-circle escalation guaranteed throughout coming months. The coalition's hold had been essentially dependent on Shia tolerance, but now that's blow sky-high!! ...although Sistani is still trying to control the conflagration by calling on HIS followers to stay calm. But as/if the Shia death-toll rises, this will become harder and harder to do.

Apart from Baghdad area, Shia zones are mostly under non-US control (UK, Italy, Spain...) but if this tension continues (and I don't see how the cork can be put back in the bottle now), wonder which if ANY of these these countries will really be prepared to keep their troops in the front line in murderous day-to-day clashes against mass civilian armed revolt. Which would make the "UN/Nato alternative" totally impracticable.

Plus have read US is already "casting doubts" on 30th June handover date due to ..."civil war" aka insurgency - which proves some US dems no less IDIOTIC than Neo-Cons - as any friggin' around with THAT date would automatically bring even the "moderate" Sistani and his followers into armed rebellion, seeing at that point there would be NO further reason to refrain.

Which would leave the US with what?

The Kurdish zones, duh! ...

"DarkMirror prophecy of the week":
US forces, if not withdrawn as per clear schedule rapidly agreed around time of handover, will be ultimately reduced to giving military support to Kurdish secessionist claims, defending Kirkuk oilfields from Shia and Sunni alike in full-blown Iraqi civil war....

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